Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.058928 0.066828 0.074984 0.084004 0.093670 0.103688 0.114829
2025-04-27 0.044357 0.055729 0.068177 0.082669 0.098936 0.116503 0.136781
2025-05-04 0.037327 0.050954 0.066568 0.085448 0.107343 0.131647 0.160386
2025-05-11 0.030544 0.045227 0.062798 0.084787 0.111019 0.140822 0.176763
2025-05-18 0.026711 0.042436 0.061955 0.087068 0.117697 0.153111 0.196446
2025-05-25 0.023392 0.039809 0.060911 0.088758 0.123398 0.164068 0.214457
2025-06-01 0.019120 0.035338 0.057050 0.086533 0.124004 0.168721 0.224857
2025-06-08 0.015620 0.031473 0.053590 0.084469 0.124520 0.173042 0.234683
2025-06-15 0.014015 0.030182 0.053449 0.086592 0.130200 0.183587 0.251963
2025-06-22 0.012282 0.028463 0.052535 0.087551 0.134301 0.192138 0.266812
2025-06-29 0.011566 0.028289 0.053770 0.091383 0.142106 0.205308 0.287353
2025-07-06 0.010083 0.026627 0.052687 0.091920 0.145538 0.212973 0.301133
2025-07-13 0.009871 0.027299 0.055291 0.097914 0.156604 0.230805 0.328190
2025-07-20 0.007899 0.024491 0.052422 0.096097 0.157279 0.235551 0.339184
2025-07-27 0.007149 0.023894 0.052938 0.099095 0.164428 0.248595 0.360608
2025-08-03 0.005825 0.021876 0.050990 0.098362 0.166409 0.254940 0.373605
2025-08-10 0.005200 0.021241 0.051252 0.100862 0.172816 0.267030 0.393898
2025-08-17 0.004553 0.020421 0.051120 0.102713 0.178298 0.277913 0.412686
2025-08-24 0.003444 0.018171 0.048293 0.100275 0.177633 0.280620 0.420959
2025-08-31 0.002552 0.016164 0.045687 0.098013 0.177088 0.283393 0.429256
2025-09-07 0.002242 0.015753 0.045995 0.100340 0.183113 0.294937 0.448899
2025-09-14 0.001859 0.014978 0.045536 0.101391 0.187273 0.303985 0.465338
2025-09-21 0.001768 0.015183 0.046998 0.105586 0.196044 0.319286 0.489969